Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.004389 0.004617 0.004851 0.005111 0.005391 0.005683 0.006013
2025-11-09 0.004058 0.004402 0.004771 0.005198 0.005681 0.006214 0.006847
2025-11-16 0.003779 0.004182 0.004626 0.005156 0.005776 0.006484 0.007360
2025-11-23 0.003586 0.004031 0.004533 0.005148 0.005887 0.006756 0.007870
2025-11-30 0.003390 0.003859 0.004398 0.005071 0.005900 0.006899 0.008216
2025-12-07 0.003230 0.003717 0.004286 0.005009 0.005917 0.007037 0.008554
2025-12-14 0.003117 0.003623 0.004223 0.005000 0.005993 0.007247 0.008988
2025-12-21 0.002947 0.003451 0.004057 0.004850 0.005879 0.007200 0.009073
2025-12-28 0.002870 0.003391 0.004023 0.004863 0.005973 0.007426 0.009535
2026-01-04 0.002819 0.003358 0.004022 0.004916 0.006119 0.007724 0.010113
2026-01-11 0.002734 0.003280 0.003958 0.004882 0.006143 0.007856 0.010458
2026-01-18 0.002666 0.003219 0.003914 0.004873 0.006199 0.008030 0.010873
2026-01-25 0.002592 0.003149 0.003856 0.004842 0.006224 0.008165 0.011239
2026-02-01 0.002567 0.003143 0.003881 0.004924 0.006412 0.008542 0.012005
2026-02-08 0.002497 0.003074 0.003820 0.004885 0.006423 0.008658 0.012364
2026-02-15 0.002443 0.003025 0.003783 0.004878 0.006477 0.008840 0.012840
2026-02-22 0.002370 0.002947 0.003704 0.004807 0.006435 0.008870 0.013063
2026-03-01 0.002304 0.002878 0.003636 0.004749 0.006408 0.008921 0.013324
2026-03-08 0.002260 0.002837 0.003604 0.004740 0.006455 0.009090 0.013797
2026-03-15 0.002173 0.002734 0.003485 0.004601 0.006296 0.008922 0.013663
2026-03-22 0.002141 0.002707 0.003469 0.004613 0.006370 0.009133 0.014224
2026-03-29 0.002123 0.002698 0.003479 0.004663 0.006504 0.009447 0.014994
2026-04-05 0.002079 0.002653 0.003436 0.004631 0.006508 0.009544 0.015365